Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Israel	Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Venezuela	Meridiano
World	Disney+


	Rio Ave		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.75	7.5	Watch
	1.28	5.25	7.75
	1.3	5.5	9.5
	1.28	5.67	9.56
	1.33	5.37	7.88	Watch
	1.29	5	8
	1.29	5.77	7.53	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	5.48 ↑ (4.63)	8.4 ↑ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
71.9%

Draw
17%

São João de Ver
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rio Ave - São João de Ver Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Ave will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miszta C. (G) 98. Richards O. 3. Ntoi A. 4. Abbey N. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 76. Neto M. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 11. Morais T. 80. Pohlmann O. 7. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton	99. Benjamim R. (G) 90. Ruca 54. Tavares R. 94. Viegas R. 12. Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 88. Paulo Lima 6. Barbosa D. (C) 8. Fortunato B. 60. Daniel 9. Victor J. 31. David Rebelo
Substitutes
8. Gomes V. 21. Graca J. 22. Joao Pedro 19. Kiko Bondoso 93. Kostoulas K. 6. Novais J. 95. Teixeira M. (G) 20. Tome J. 14. Zoabi K.	7. Agostinho 10. Andrezinho 4. Balde F. 22. Batista J. 27. Ca L. 18. Claro A. 16. Jesse P. 2. Jota Oliveira 92. Mello R. (G)
Coaches
Petit	Cabral A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ruca (Pen),
25', Ruca 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
36', Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E. 🟨,
36', Ntoi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morais T. ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
51', Andre Luiz 🟨,
59', Pohlmann O. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
59', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
72', Daniel ↓, Ca L. ↑,
72', Viegas R. ↓, Jota Oliveira ↑,
72', Petit 🟨,
78', Ruca ↓, Batista J. ↑,
78', Barbosa D. ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
81', Clayton 🟨,
86', Neto M. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
86', Richards O. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
87', David Rebelo ↓, Agostinho ↑,
90+7', Fortunato B. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Clayton ⚽,
90+10', Tavares R. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São João de Ver is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

São João de Ver could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rio Ave is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
03.02.25	Rio Ave - Porto	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Farense - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.25	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.01.25	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWLWT
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
26.01.25	São João de Ver - Varzim	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Anadia - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
11.01.25	São João de Ver - Fafe	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	São João de Ver - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.12.24	Oliveira Hospital - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WTWWW

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