Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 14

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Rio Ave U19		Lusitânia U19

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	13.5
	1.11	7	19
	1.13	7.62	14.58
	1.13	7.62	14.58
	1.08	7	15
	1.1	7.6	17
	1.11	7	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.34)	7.33 ↑ (4.65)	16.09 ↑ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave U19
81.9%

Draw
12.4%

Lusitânia U19
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave U19's performance.

Lusitânia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitânia U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U19 than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia U19 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Ave U19 - Lusitânia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
18.05.24	Boavista U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Rio Ave U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	3:2 ✺
04.05.24	Chaves U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Rio Ave U19 - Vizela U19	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Gil Vicente U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTTW
- Lusitânia FC U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
18.05.24	Lusitânia U19 - Vizela U19	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Boavista U19 - Lusitânia U19	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Lusitânia U19 - Gil Vicente U19	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Lusitânia U19	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Maritimo U19 - Lusitânia U19	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
06.04.24	Lusitânia U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:1
13.01.24	Rio Ave U19 - Lusitânia U19	4:2
21.10.23	Lusitânia U19 - Rio Ave U19	2:1

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