Match Info

Capixaba - Round 8

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare) (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Record


	Rio Branco AC ES		Forte Rio Bananal

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.4	6.9
	1.45	3.69	6.24
	1.48	3.76	6.56	Watch
	1.5	3.4	7
	1.45	3.6	7.45
	1.47	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	6.78 ↑ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
61.5%

Draw
25.2%

Forte Rio Bananal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

25.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Forte Rio Bananal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forte Rio Bananal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Branco AC ES (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Allan Camilatto (G)
4. Darlan Santos
25. David Lopes
10. Gui Mendes
14. Matheus Castelo
22. Murilo Henrique
11. Neto Oliveira
19. Rafael
5. Romarinho
7. Thainler
8. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
35. Alisson Farias
9. Brandao
15. Carlinhos
99. Edu
23. Flavinho
17. Gregorio P.
21. Inacio
24. Iverson
6. Joao Paulo
3. Matheus Mega
18. Ribeiro E.
2. Ronaldo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lazio ↓, Breno Mariano ↑,
28', Marcelinho Araxa 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
49', Neto Oliveira 🟨,
51', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
67', Valdeir ↓, Pietro Micenio ↑,
68', Edimar 🟨,
68', Rafael ↓, Inacio ↑,
71', Murilo Henrique 🟨,
81', Gui Mendes ↓, Brandao ↑,
81', Murilo Henrique ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
83', Darlan Santos 🟨,
90+2', Breno Mariano 🟨,
90+3', David Lopes 🟨,
90+4', Ze Mateus 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Rio Branco AC ES is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
04.02.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWL
- Forte Rio Bananal
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
04.02.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Vitória ES	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Serra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Porto Vitória - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TTWTT

Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide