Match Info

Capixaba - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gil Bernardes da Silveira (Sumare) (Vila Velha)


	Vilavelhense		Forte Rio Bananal

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.88	2.62
	2.57	2.88	2.72
	2.6	2.96	2.7	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.7
	2.6	3.43	2.54
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	2.96 ↓ (3.23)	2.67 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilavelhense
35%

Draw
30.8%

Forte Rio Bananal
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Forte Rio Bananal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forte Rio Bananal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Borges 8. Campos Almeida E. d. S. 9. Diogo Bolt 4. Gabriel Dembele 11. Guilherme 6. Kainandro 10. Kelvin 1. Lucao 7. Lucas Bonete 2. Makelele 3. Palacios Cantillo J. D.	1. Barto (G) 11. Allanzinho 3. Breno Mariano 8. Darlan 6. Edimar (C) 2. Gabriel Mistura 20. Lucas Dede 7. Marcelinho Araxa 9. Rael 5. Riquelme 10. Valdeir
Substitutes
18. Alberto 19. Daniel Rodrigues 15. Davi Freitas 20. Davis 14. Fellipi Marques 22. Gabriel Amorim 92. Joao Gomes (G) 17. Joao Rozario 13. Jomar 21. Juninho 12. Matheus Cabral (G) 16. Salah	15. Bruno Alecrim 14. Claudio Dias 12. Felipe (G) 23. Goncalves I. 13. Guilherme Henrique 21. Iago Nogueira 16. Kauhan 22. Matheus Arcado 17. Nicolas 19. Pietro Micenio 18. Ryan Daudt 24. Victor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Palacios Cantillo J. D. 🟨,
32', Kelvin 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Rael ⚽,
38', Breno Mariano 🟨,
45', Allanzinho 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campos Almeida E. d. S. ↓, Alberto ↑,
46', Lucas Bonete ↓, Davis ↑,
46', Kelvin ↓, Juninho ↑,
46', Valdeir ↓, Matheus Arcado ↑,
54', Darlan 🟨,
54', 🟨,
60', Rael 🟨,
62', Rael ↓, Goncalves I. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Juninho (Penalty Awarded),
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Forte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
29.01.26	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.6 LWWLL
- Forte Rio Bananal
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Serra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Porto Vitória - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Forte Rio Bananal - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Noroeste - Forte Rio Bananal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 WTTLW

Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide