Match Info

Capixaba - Round 7

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Olímpio Perim (Venda Nova do Imigrante) 🌤️ ...


	Rio Branco-VN		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.25
	1.72	3.22	4.66
	1.77	3.23	4.56	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.4
	1.75	3.2	4.6
	1.73	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)	3.13 ↓ (3.23)	4.54 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco-VN
51.1%

Draw
29%

Vilavelhense
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

30%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rio Branco VN - Vilavelhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Lucas Pacheco (G) 8. Alberto 5. Borjao 9. Diogo 4. Gabriel Dembele 11. Guilherme 10. Juninho 6. Kainandro 7. Kelvin 2. Makelele 3. Palacios Cantillo J. D.	24. Rodolfo (G) 21. Bruno 13. Caldeira I. 3. Douglas Zielke 15. Fogliato D. 9. Guilherme Teixeira 2. Jair Junior 25. Julio Cesar 26. Leozidio 10. Rafael Sayao 27. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Kainandro 🟨,
28', Alberto 🟨,
32', Kelvin 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Diogo ⚽,
45+1', Caldeira I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Julio Cesar 🟨,
59', Makelele 🟨,
69', Makelele ↓, Gabriel Amorim ↑,
69', Juninho ↓, Lucas Bonete ↑,
74', Jair Junior ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
79', Guilherme Teixeira ↓, Leo Ferraz ↑,
83', Alberto ↓, Salah ↑,
84', Leozidio 🟨,
89', Kelvin ↓, Joao Rozario ↑,
89', Guilherme ↓, Campos Almeida E. d. S. ↑,
90+1', Vitinho ↓, Wendell ↑,
90+1', Lucas Pacheco 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rio Branco-VN is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco-VN won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Branco-VN won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
31.01.26	Serra - Rio Branco-VN	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTTT
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
01.02.26	Vilavelhense - Forte Rio Bananal	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
09.05.25	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
19.01.25	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	1:1
30.01.22	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	0:1

Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense