The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Branco-VN 38.1%
Draw 32.7%
Vitória ES 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.2%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
29.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Rio Branco VN - Vitória ES Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Gabriel Pezao (G) 6. Berriel 2. Betao 8. Canario 5. Denis Pedra 11. Marcudinho 25. Patrick 7. Renatinho 4. Roberto Junior 3. Ruan Lopes 21. Ruan Major
12. Paulo Henrique (G) 22. Abuda (C) 4. Alex 2. Caio Ferraz 10. Carlos Vitor 6. Geisandro 5. Gualberto 8. Gustavo Tonoli 15. Jonata 25. Pedro Pires 23. Wendson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Denis Pedra 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roberto Junior ↓, Dias ↑,
62', Ruan Major ↓, Jorge Mendes ↑,
70', Renatinho ↓, Gabriel G. d. S. ↑,
70', Patrick ↓, Robertinho ↑,
76', Pedro Pires ↓, Edinho ↑,
76', Abuda ↓, Matheus Paraiba ↑,
80', Geisandro 🟨,
82', Canario ↓, Arthur Faria ↑,
84', Wendson 🟨,
90', Denis Pedra 🟨,
90+3', Jonata ↓, Moura T. ↑,
90+3', Geisandro ↓, Thiago Magatao ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Arthur Faria (Pen),
1, Moura T. (Pen),
2, Marcudinho (Pen),
2, Wendson (Pen),
3, Gabriel G. d. S. (Pen),
3, Thiago Magatao (Pen),
4, Robertinho (Pen),
4, Carlos Vitor (Pen),
5, Jorge Mendes (Pen),
5, Edinho (Pen),
6, Dias (Pen),
6, Gustavo Tonoli (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Rio Branco-VN will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Rio Branco-VN won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
Watch
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Gabriel Pezao (G) 
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