Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	1.88	3.7	3.45
	2.03	3.7	3.18
	2.03	3.46	3.28	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.45)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	3.32 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
46.7%

Draw
25.8%

Charleston Battery
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Grande Valley's performance.

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charleston Battery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Grande Valley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charleston Battery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Rio Grande Valley - Charleston Battery Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rio Grande Valley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Merancio C. (G) 18. Herrera D. 3. Ackwei W. 6. Benitez G. 20. Ritondale T. 8. Davila T. 5. Cabezas J. 12. Ruiz R. 16. Coronado R. 13. Cabrera W. 23. Francois C.	25. Muse T. (G) 14. Dodson D. 5. Archer L. 20. Paterson AJ 28. Wynne D. 4. Allan C. 6. Polvara D. 19. Crawford R. 12. Rodriguez A. 11. Barajas F. 9. Williams A.
Substitutes
17. Cerro I. 1. Deric T. (G) 19. Kinzner E. 9. Lopez F. 15. Nodarse F. 4. Pimentel E. 7. Torres F.	69. Avila R. 7. Booth A. 3. Cochran A. 24. Kuzemka D. (G) 23. Palma J. 22. Randall J. 15. Schmidt J.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Pirmann B.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (21.74%), project points - 38, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (26%), a small chance of qtrs (8%), a very small chance of semis (3%), a very small chance of final (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 14, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
20.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:3 ✺
13.05.23	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:3 ✺
05.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Monterey Bay - Rio Grande Valley	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Rio Grande Valley - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTTL
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
20.05.23	Charleston Battery - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Charleston Battery - San Antonio	0:7 ✺
US Open Cup
09.05.23	Inter Miami - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
05.05.23	Las Vegas Lights - Charleston Battery	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Charleston Battery - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.09.22	Charleston Battery - Rio Grande Valley	0:3

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