Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Rio Preto		União Suzano

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.75
	1.57	3.58	5.68	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.54	3.54	5.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)	5.52 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
57%

Draw
26.5%

União Suzano
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Preto's performance.

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Rio Preto - União Suzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Silva T. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Felipe L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Vinicius ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

In recent matches, Rio Preto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União Suzano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rio Preto is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Preto - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Preto - União São João	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTWT
- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.02.26	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	União Suzano - Itapirense	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francana - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	União Suzano - Catanduva	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.02.25	União Suzano - Rio Preto	1:0
16.03.24	Rio Preto - União Suzano	1:2

Rio Preto - União Suzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide