Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)


	Riteriai		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9.25
	1.21	6	9.6	Watch
	1.2	5.85	9.16
	1.19	6.2	10.8
	1.21	6	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)	5.96 ↑ (4.8)	9.68 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai
75.4%

Draw
15.2%

BFA Vilnius
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riteriai's performance.

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Riteriai - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitkauskas A. (C) 55. Chanda R. 11. Kaulinis A. 23. Kazakevicius A. 17. Rimpa D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 2. Stankevicius N. 8. Sveistrys A. 27. Vlijter R. 46. Wawszczyk J. 77. Zdanovic E. J.	12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 5. Benevicius N. 11. Cizas M. 4. Kezunas A. 47. Korsakas A. (C) 13. Mikoliunas K. 24. Misiunas D. 89. Paulikas I. 66. Pranckus P. 6. Puzas D. 48. Sidlauskas A.
Substitutes
21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. 22. Galita A. 4. Gumbaravicius G. 3. Latvys M. 12. Petkus N. 47. Rosiveri A.	74. Indriulis A. 77. Jurevicius Z. 10. Osipovic A. 76. Semaska U. (G) 59. Urbanavicius K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Stankevicius N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga and 8).

Riteriai is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

BFA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

BFA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Riteriai is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riteriai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian Division 2
13.09.24	FA Šiauliai B - Riteriai	0:4 ✺
31.08.24	Panevėžys 2 - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Riteriai - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Riteriai	1:3 ✺
09.08.24	Riteriai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
14.09.24	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	0:5 ✺
23.08.24	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Garliava - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai	0:2

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