Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 22

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Garliava		Transinvest

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.98	4.59	1.33
	9.6	5.5	1.25
	7.6	4.9	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.06 ↑ (3.38)	5 ↑ (3.48)	1.3 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
11.3%

Draw
18.3%

Transinvest
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.8%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garliava's form might have worsened.

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Transinvest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Transinvest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Garliava - Transinvest Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Transinvest will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga).

Garliava is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Transinvest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Transinvest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Transinvest is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
01.09.23	Jonava - Garliava	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
05.08.23	Marijampolė City - Garliava	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian Cup
09.09.23	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
30.08.23	Transinvest - FA Šiauliai B	10:0 ✺
26.08.23	Minija Kretinga - Transinvest	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
16.08.23	Transinvest - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.04.23	Transinvest - Garliava	3:3

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