Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.69	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.58
	1.82	3.57	3.89
	1.81	3.58	3.78
	1.69	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.61)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	3.86 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
51.5%

Draw
24.9%

Garliava
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevėžis's form might have worsened.

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevėžis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Garliava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nevėžis - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 44. Aoyama T. 5. Avizovas U. 23. Gavrylyuk N. 7. Horikoshi T. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 19. Mikuckis R. 11. Mohil Y. 9. Onah E. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Matuskevicius D. (G) 21. Chang T. 9. Denilson 13. Dohemeto S. V. 3. Kontenis D. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 17. Rodriguez D. 23. Savenas P. 6. Serbenta H. 77. Sudakovas P.
Substitutes
4. Bajoriunas A. 13. Berednikovas L. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 14. Kasahara Y. 3. Martinkus N. 30. Monkelis M. 25. Spontas A. 10. Yoon Jong-Tae	28. Barila M. 18. Boguzas R. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 19. Genevicius L. 27. Pedro R. 10. Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Mikuckis R. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
18', Lukosevicius A. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Rakasius T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pablo Alves Pereira I. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Onah E. ⚽,
67', Savenas P. ↓, Barila M. ↑,
72', Rodriguez D. ↓, Pedro R. ↑,
72', Denilson ↓, Chibueze Ekubo D. ↑,
74', Skibiniauskas V. ↓, Berednikovas L. ↑,
80', Gavrylyuk N. ↓, Yaghr F. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
13.09.24	Ekranas - Nevėžis	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	FA Šiauliai B - Nevėžis	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	6:0 ✺
17.08.24	Panevėžys 2 - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
13.08.24	Nevėžis - Banga Gargždai	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
14.09.24	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Garliava - Minija Kretinga	4:2 ✺
24.08.24	Tauras Tauragė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0 ✺
09.08.24	Garliava - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.24	Garliava - Nevėžis	1:1
18.08.23	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:1
01.04.23	Garliava - Nevėžis	0:0
12.11.22	Garliava - Nevėžis	1:1
06.07.22	Nevėžis - Garliava	3:1

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