Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Portugal	Sport TV
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	River Plate		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9
	1.39	4.5	7.75
	1.35	4.5	9.5
	1.4	4.57	9.27
	1.38	4.7	8.3	Watch
	1.38	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.53 ↓ (4.63)	8.6 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
68.2%

Draw
20.8%

Unión Santa Fe
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

20.2%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

19.4%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

River Plate - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Unión will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 26).

River Plate has the most likely position - 1 (58.94%), project points - 56, currently - 18, a good chance of win league (59%).

Unión Santa Fe has the most likely position - 28 (9.2%), project points - 30, currently - 7, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 44, importance 44, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

River Plate is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Unión Santa Fe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match River Plate is absolute favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Kranevitter M. (Injury) Lopez E. (Injury) Martinez D. (Injury) Zuculini B. (Injury) de la Cruz N. (Injury)

There will not play in Unión Santa Fe: Luna Diale M. (Red Card)

Our prediction for today's River Plate to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 4 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-2.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.03.23	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.03.23	River Plate - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.03.23	Lanús - River Plate	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.23	Unión Santa Fe - Racing	1:3 ✺
12.03.23	Rosario Central - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
03.03.23	Unión Santa Fe - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Unión Santa Fe - Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.06.22	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	1:5
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.22	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.21	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	4:0
10.11.12	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	2:0

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