Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.5	3.08	2.88
	2.45	3.19	2.73
	2.45	2.9	2.8
	2.35	3.43	2.84	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	3.14 ↑ (3.01)	2.76 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
37.8%

Draw
29.1%

Vélez Sársfield 2
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Freitas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

River Plate 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Vélez 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 3.

River Plate 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vélez 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vélez 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.25	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	River Plate 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:2 ✺
30.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:2 ✺
22.04.25	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
13.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
22.04.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.12.24	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1 penalties
01.08.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
22.02.24	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
30.08.23	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1
27.05.23	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
16.07.22	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2

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