Match Info

Date: 29 August 2021, Sunday


	River Plate Asunción		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.2	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	3.05	3.15	2.2
	3.05	3.1	2.26
	3.29	3.32	2.34
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.18	3.13	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	3.09 ↑ (3.01)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
29.3%

Draw
29.8%

Guaraní Asuncion
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

30.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.3%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Asunción that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate Asunción - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores).

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guaraní will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.21	12 de Octubre - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
13.08.21	River Plate Asunción - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
30.07.21	River Plate Asunción - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
25.07.21	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLTW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
15.08.21	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:4 ✺
06.08.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	3:1 ✺
01.08.21	Guaraní Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1 ✺
24.07.21	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
12.04.21	Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	2:0
09.02.21	River Plate Asunción - Guaraní Asuncion	1:4

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