The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion 56.2%
Draw 25.6%
12 de Octubre 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
25.5%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
24.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Guaraní Asuncion - 12 de Octubre Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 4.
Recent matches Guaraní is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
12 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
12 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guaraní is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-8.