Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	River Plate Montevideo		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.65	3.75
	1.77	3.6	4
	1.82	3.96	4.29
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.8	3.64	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	4 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
51.4%

Draw
25.4%

12 de Octubre
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches 12 de Octubre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

12 de Octubre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTTW
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.20	12 de Octubre - Club General Díaz	3:3 ✺
25.09.20	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	3:3 ✺
18.09.20	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	3:1 ✺
11.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
04.09.20	12 de Octubre - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
04.09.20	12 de Octubre - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
29.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	0:2

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