Match Info
Copa Uruguay - Round 1Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 South America | — | DGO Latin America |
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Progreso |
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River Plate Montevideo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.40 |
2.90 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.88 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.45 |
2.95 |
2.84 |
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 |
2.46 |
3.02 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.44 |
2.9 |
2.89 |
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 |
2.38 |
3 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.11) |
2.92 ↓
(3.18) |
2.81 ↓
(3.19) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progreso
37.3% | Draw
30.8% | River Plate Montevideo
32% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progreso's form might have worsened.River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progreso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Progreso - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Vera D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 0 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 3.Recent form of Progreso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).River Plate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 14.09.25 | River Plate Montevideo - Progreso | 0:0 | | 23.03.25 | Progreso - River Plate Montevideo | 2:1 | | 19.10.24 | Progreso - River Plate Montevideo | 2:0 | | 09.06.24 | Progreso - River Plate Montevideo | 1:0 | | 21.04.24 | River Plate Montevideo - Progreso | 2:2 | | 09.10.21 | Progreso - River Plate Montevideo | 1:0 | | 12.06.21 | River Plate Montevideo - Progreso | 4:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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