The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
12 de Octubre 22.3%
Draw 28.4%
River Plate Montevideo 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
28.2%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
20%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 12 de Octubre's form might have worsened.
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.6%
37.1%
54.3%
12 de Octubre - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 37.8% – 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).
Recent matches 12 de Octubre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
River Plate is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
12 de Octubre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
River Plate will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Watch
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