Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	River Plate Montevideo		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.25	3.9
	1.93	3.53	4.29
	1.88	3.25	4.2
	1.87	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	3.96 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
49.4%

Draw
27.2%

Sportivo Luqueño
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sportivo Luqueño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
30.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.20	Cerro Porteño - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.09.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - River Plate Montevideo	0:6 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.09.20	Nacional Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	7:0 ✺
11.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
04.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
31.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
31.07.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
12.11.19	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
23.08.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
31.03.19	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	3:1
28.01.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1
18.11.16	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2
12.08.16	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	1:0

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