Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Germany	Sport 1+
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV


	River Plate Montevideo		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.47	4	7
	1.49	4.1	7.5
	1.49	4.25	7.6
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.52	4.65	7.7	Watch
	1.47	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	4.17 ↑ (4.07)	7.16 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
64.2%

Draw
22.6%

Internacional RS
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (G) 20. Casco M. 14. Gonzalez L. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. H. 24. Perez E. (C) 11. de la Cruz N. 21. Barco E. 29. Aliendro R. 10. Nacho Fernandez 18. Beltran L.	33. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 14. de Pena C. 30. Johnny 20. Aranguiz C. 10. Alan Patrick 13. Valencia E. 11. Wanderson
Substitutes
33. Centurion E. (G) 47. Colidio F. 22. Kranevitter M. 9. Miguel Borja 38. Mori R. 8. Palavecino A. 26. Paradela J. 2. Rojas R. 25. Rondon S. 31. Simon S. 36. Solari P. 7. Suarez M.	8. Bruno Henrique 23. Gabriel 17. Gustavo Campanharo 22. Hernandez N. 21. Igor Gomes 31. John Victor (G) 45. Lucca 9. Luiz Adriano 41. Matheus Dias 27. Mauricio 28. Pedro Henrique 40. Romulo
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Coudet E.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches River Plate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Internacional is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.07.23	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
10.07.23	Montevideo City Torque - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	River Plate Montevideo - The Strongest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Internacional RS - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Fluminense - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Internacional RS	2:2
03.04.19	Internacional RS - River Plate Montevideo	2:2

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