Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montevideo Wanderers		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3.36	3.61
	2.13	3.21	3.30	Watch
	2.17	3.26	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
43.4%

Draw
28.8%

River Plate Montevideo
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for River Plate Montevideo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montevideo Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. da Silva J. (G) 30. Alegria M. 23. Garcia E. 6. Zazpe L. 13. Gabriel G. 8. Veglio B. 18. Cerro F. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Wagner G. 7. Rivero R. 28. Luna J.	1. Frascarelli D. (G) 28. Olmos T. 3. Gissi D. 2. Perez F. 13. Almeida C. (C) 20. Lemos L. 22. Alfonso M. 10. Vera A. 8. De Leon F. 17. Escobar M. 19. Pollero R.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 3. Cesano L. 15. Garcia A. 70. Martin B. 26. Martinez M. 31. Nanni F. 22. Parzajuk K. 12. Rio J. (G) 11. Rodriguez J. 27. Teuten A.	21. Cabrera F. 29. Camejo L. 26. Chavero J. 25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 9. Correa T. 18. Lopez I. 6. Moreira M. 27. Pintado R. 30. Sanchez D. 15. Triver F.
Coaches
Carreno D.	Salazar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Vera A. ⚽,
24', Luna J. 🟨,
31', Garcia E. 🟨,
32', Cerro F. 🟨,
35', Escobar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Cerro F. ↓, Teuten A. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Vera A. ⚽,
56', Escobar M. ↓, Cabrera F. ↑,
59', Teuten A. 🟨,
61', Lemos L. 🟨,
61', Vera A. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Gissi D. ⚽,
71', Luna J. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
71', Veglio B. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
74', Garcia A. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
81', Queiroz N. 🟨,
83', Lemos L. 🟨,
83', Garcia E. 🟨,
85', De Leon F. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
85', Pollero R. ↓, Triver F. ↑,
90', 0 - 4, Lopez I. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 2.

Wanderers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, River Plate has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.1:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

River Plate Montevideo - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLTL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.25	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.05.25	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
17.05.25	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
12.10.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
23.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	1:3
06.04.24	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:1
Uruguay Copa
07.02.24	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	0:4
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	2:1

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