Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 3

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	19:30	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Kosovo	01:30	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	18:30	Fanatiz
Portugal	00:30	Canal 11
Russia	03:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	01:30	Arena Premium 2
Usa	19:30	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.24	3.34	2.38
	2.80	3.15	2.57	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.19	3.29	2.36	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.99)	3.23 ↑ (3.03)	2.37 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
30.8%

Draw
29.3%

Palmeiras
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

31%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

30.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Internacional RS - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 41. Victor Gabriel 28. Vitinho 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 10. Alan Patrick (C) 26. Bernabei A. 19. Borre R. 7. Carbonero J.	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 12. Khellven 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 40. Allan Elias 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 18. Mauricio 42. Lopez J. 9. Vitor Roque
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 12. Anthoni (G) 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 44. Joao Victor 11. Kayky 14. Rodriguez A. 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F. 5. Villagra R.	3. Bruno Fuchs 11. Bruno Rodrigues 4. Giay A. 6. Jefte 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi 19. Sosa R.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Gomez G. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
36', 1 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Victor Gabriel ↓, Torres F. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽,
55', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
58', Andreas Pereira 🟨,
61', Alan Patrick ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
61', Paulinho Paula ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
67', Mauricio ↓, Luighi ↑,
67', Vitor Roque ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
70', Pezzolano P. 🟨,
81', Allan Elias ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
81', Lopez J. ↓, Giay A. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Andreas Pereira ⚽, Lucas Evangelista (A),
85', Ronaldo ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
85', Carbonero J. ↓, Kayky ↑,
89', Piquerez J. ↓, Jefte ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54:22	32	66
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Palmeiras: 38.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.26	Internacional RS - São Luiz	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.26	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.26	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.01.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
13.09.25	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	4:1
16.04.25	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:1
04.08.24	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	1:1
17.04.24	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:1
11.11.23	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	3:0
16.07.23	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:0
13.11.22	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	3:0

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