The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 22.5%
Draw 27.9%
Nacional Montevideo 49.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.8%
22.9%
57.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
22.2%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Correa T. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Escobar M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Montaos L. ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, Burruzo M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 3, Correa T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1.
River Plate is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Nacional Montevideo - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.29%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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