Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Federico Omar Saroldi (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	River Plate Montevideo		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.1
	2.2	3.17	3.25
	2.26	3.09	3.3	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.15	3.1	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)	3.21 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
41.8%

Draw
29.8%

Paysandú
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, River Plate has had a series of away games.

River Plate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2 ✺
06.04.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Oriental de La Paz - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1

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