Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports


	Colón Montevideo		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.48	3.10	2.60
	2.55	3.24	2.70
	2.61	3.09	2.76	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.62
	2.54	3.53	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)	3.18 ↑ (2.95)	2.63 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
36.3%

Draw
28.8%

River Plate Montevideo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Burruzo M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Airaldi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 5).

Colón is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Colón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

River Plate Montevideo - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	6:4 ✺
06.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rentistas - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2

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