Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 23

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Uruguay	14:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.65
	2.62	3.15	2.74
	2.61	3.14	2.72	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.57	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
35.9%

Draw
29.9%

River Plate Montevideo
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:20 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plaza Colonia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Plaza Colonia	24	10	7	7	30:24	6	37
7	River Plate	24	9	6	9	36:31	5	33

Last Results with these Odds

Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

River Plate Montevideo - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.10.26	La Luz - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Plaza Colonia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLWT
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
14.10.26	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.10.26	River Plate Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	La Luz - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Cerrito - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2
28.03.26	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.09.25	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
19.06.25	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
29.03.25	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2
26.08.23	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
11.02.23	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0

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