Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+
Brazil	19:00	Disney+
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Peru	17:00	Disney+
Uruguay	19:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+


	Paysandú		Rentistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.20
	2.85	3.00	2.30
	3.15	3.25	2.30
	3.33	3.27	2.15	Watch
	3.10	3.00	2.25
	2.92	3.34	2.34
	2.95	3.10	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paysandú
30.2%

Draw
29.1%

Rentistas
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

30.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Paysandú - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Martinez J. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+7', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 2nd).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Rentistas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Rentistas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Paysandú has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paysandú against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rentistas	24	10	7	7	32:27	5	37
5	Paysandu FC	24	10	4	10	32:31	1	34

Last Results with these Odds

Rentistas - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Miramar Misiones - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Paysandú - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paysandú - La Luz	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTLW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Rentistas - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1

Upcoming Matches