The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 32.5%
Draw 31.4%
Racing Montevideo 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
28.1%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
26.7%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frascarelli D. (G) 31. Olmos T. 23. Crespo E. 13. Almeida C. (C) 6. Moreira M. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. 33. Triver F. 14. De Leon F. 10. Vera A. 18. Lopez I. 19. Pollero R.
25. Amade L. (G) 14. Brazionis 3. Bueno G. (C) 17. Ferreira M. 4. Cotugno G. 5. Rodriguez Y. 37. Oyarzo Y. 6. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 16. Da Silva E. 77. Tomatis B. 81. Manzur I.
Substitutes
22. Alfonso M. 32. Chavero J. 25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 9. Correa T. 17. Escobar M. 3. Gissi D. 15. Jourdan E. 2. Perez F. 7. Quintana J. 11. Schiappacasse N.
13. Alvarez F. 26. Bosca J. 8. Cairus F. 15. Cheuquepal D. 29. Gonzalez F. 12. Machado F. (G) 34. Rodriguez A. 30. Scarone A. 22. Severo A. 28. Suarez F.
Coaches
Salazar R.
Chambian C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Triver F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Almeida C. ⚽,
41', Almeida C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Cairus F. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Pollero R. ⚽,
50', 2 - 1, Manzur I. ⚽,
59', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
65', Triver F. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Moreira M. (Own goal),
75', Vera A. ↓, Schiappacasse N. ↑,
75', De Leon F. ↓, Quintana J. ↑,
76', Tomatis B. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
76', Manzur I. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Da Silva E. ⚽,
84', Lopez I. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
84', Olmos T. ↓, Chavero J. ↑,
87', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+3', Da Silva E. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
River Plate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Racing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Racing could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
River Plate Montevideo - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Russia
South-america
Ukraine
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Frascarelli D. (G) 
Olmos T. 
Gissi D. 
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