Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nacional Montevideo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	7	Watch
	1.49	3.95	5.9
	1.49	4.29	6.75
	1.48	4.32	6.43	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.48	4.07	6.85	Watch
	1.48	4.25	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	4.1 ↑ (3.98)	6.49 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
63%

Draw
22.7%

Racing Montevideo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mejia L. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 4. Coates S. (C) 29. Millan J. 34. Bais F. 8. Oliva C. 6. Boggio L. 30. Barcia B. 11. Silvera M. 27. Veron T. 9. Gomez M.	1. Machado F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 3. Brazionis 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 16. Da Silva E. 8. Cairus F. 24. Perez J. 39. Vazquez A. 26. Da Silva S. 18. Habib T.
Substitutes
15. Calione P. 20. Carneiro G. 10. Dos Santos A. 14. Lodeiro N. 31. Martinez R. 24. Mereles E. 5. Pintado J. 23. Rodriguez L. 77. Rodriguez N. 25. Suarez I. (G)	40. Atum A. 5. Bosca J. 15. Cheuquepal D. 14. De Los Santos E. 19. Dudok R. 81. Manzur I. 37. Oyarzo Y. 11. Suarez F. 77. Tomatis B. 12. Varese F. (G)
Coaches
Viera J.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Brazionis ⚽,
7', Oliva C. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
33', Brazionis 🟨,
38', Bais F. 🟨,
45', Gomez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bais F. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
50', Veron T. 🟨,
60', Cotugno G. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
60', Perez J. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
63', Boggio L. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
63', Barcia B. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
70', Cairus F. 🟨,
71', Habib T. 🟨,
72', Habib T. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
76', Veron T. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
82', Silvera M. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
84', Cairus F. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
85', De Los Santos E. 🟨,
90+2', Vazquez A. 🟨,
90+5', Ferreira M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.

Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:15. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nacional	9	5	2	2	13:9	4	17
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Super Cup
01.02.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 penalties ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
24.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
22.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
19.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Universidad de Concepción	Canceled ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.25	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LL?WW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.09.25	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:0
14.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2
16.03.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:1
08.11.24	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2
03.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	4:2
05.10.23	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2
09.07.23	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2

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