Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.94	3.78	3.93
	1.91	3.63	3.77	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.6
	1.88	3.7	3.57	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.21)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	3.67 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
48.7%

Draw
26%

Roasso Kumamoto
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in V-Varen Nagasaki's performance.

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roasso Kumamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

V Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 4. Dudu Giusti 17. Takahata K. 24. Yamada R. 5. Yamaguchi H. 10. Matheus Jesus 7. Marcos Guilherme 11. Junio E. 33. Kasayanagi T.	23. Sato Y. (G) 5. Abe K. 4. Hakamata Y. 6. Iwashita W. 21. Toyoda A. 8. Kamimura S. 15. Mishima S. 10. Konagaya C. 20. Osaki S. 18. Handai M. 19. Watanabe R.
Substitutes
31. Harada G. (G) 25. Kushibiki K. 8. Masuyama A. 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Nagura T. 2. Ryutaro I. 19. Sawada T. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.	17. Fujii K. 25. Kobayashi K. 27. Negishi K. 9. Omoto Y. 24. Ri T. 1. Sato S. (G) 14. Shiohama R.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Konagaya C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
60', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
61', Watanabe R. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Matsuzawa K. (A),
64', 2 - 1, Junio E. ⚽,
66', Hakamata Y. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Matheus Jesus (Pen),
68', Takahata K. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
68', Junio E. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
72', Konagaya C. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
72', Osaki S. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Shiohama R. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
90', Matheus Jesus ↓, Nagura T. ↑,
90+4', Yamada R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 4.

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Club Friendly
20.01.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
30.11.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:4 ✺
10.11.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	5:2 ✺
03.11.24	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
10.11.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Vegalta Sendai	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.07.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0
07.04.24	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:4
29.07.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	4:1
19.03.23	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
10.09.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:3
21.03.22	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0
28.10.17	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2

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