Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 11

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Robina Common (Gold Coast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Robina City		Capalaba

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.00	7.25
	1.24	5.9	7.7
	1.25	7.32	8.12
	1.25	7.16	7.78	Watch
	1.22	6	7
	1.22	6.45	7.85	Watch
	1.41	4.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	6.22 ↑ (4.7)	7.33 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robina City
72.7%

Draw
14.8%

Capalaba
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robina City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Robina City's performance.

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robina City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Robina City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Robina City - Capalaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, ⚽,
17', 3 - 0, ⚽,
33', 3 - 1, ⚽,
37', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 5 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Robina City is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robina City SC
Australian Queensland Premier League
20.06.26	Robina City - Logan Lightning	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Robina City - Holland Park Hawks	1:0 ✺
09.06.26	Ipswich FC - Robina City	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Brisbane Strikers - Robina City	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Robina City - Caboolture Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLL
- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
20.06.26	Capalaba - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	0:5 ✺
05.06.26	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Caboolture Sports - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Brisbane Strikers - Capalaba	8:0 ✺
10.05.26	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Robina City - Capalaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide