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Current Win Probability
Capalaba 17.1%
Draw 18.3%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 64.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.8%
16.6%
71.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.1%
15.7%
75.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capalaba's performance.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunshine Coast Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capalaba that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Coast Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Capalaba - Sunshine Coast Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Capalaba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sunshine Coast will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 0.
Capalaba has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Sunshine Coast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Capalaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sunshine Coast is a strong favorite.
We predict that Sunshine Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Capalaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
Australia
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