Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Central Español		Rocha

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2
	2.7	3.35	2.28
	2.68	3.6	2.34
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	3.02	3.06	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.25)	3.29 ↑ (2.85)	2.22 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
31.4%

Draw
27.6%

Rocha
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Español's form might have worsened.

Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Central Español - Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Central Español is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rocha is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Rocha have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Central Español won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Español won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.09.21	Danubio - Central Español	1:1 ✺
12.08.21	Rampla Juniors - Central Español	2:1 ✺
05.08.21	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
29.07.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Central Español - Villa Teresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLTW
- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.09.21	Rocha - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
12.08.21	Rocha - Cerro	1:3 ✺
04.08.21	Rocha - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
29.07.21	Danubio - Rocha	1:0 ✺
22.07.21	Rocha - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.06.21	Rocha - Central Español	3:2
26.10.20	Central Español - Rocha	3:0
31.08.20	Rocha - Central Español	1:1

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