Match Info

ENGLAND: National League Cup - Round 1

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Rochdale		Wolverhampton Wanderers U21

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.6	1.93
	2.76	3.99	2.11	Watch
	2.92	4.06	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.63)	3.88 ↓ (4.2)	2.04 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
32.1%

Draw
23.4%

Wolverhampton Wanderers U21
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

21.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

20.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolverhampton Wanderers U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Rochdale - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Wolverhampton U21 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kelly B. (G) 15. Ayinde L. 19. Burger J. 32. Burgess I. 30. Buyabu J. 24. Edwards C. 16. Ferguson K. 40. Henderson I. 41. Horne B. D. 39. Kelly O. 31. Weston C.	1. Gracey J. (G) 9. Angel Enguru Mangue D. 6. Ashworth F. 8. Bradbury M. 7. Edozie T. 3. Hubner J. 5. Mabete F. 2. Okoduwa W. 35. Sutherland E. 4. Voice C. 10. Whittingham M.
Substitutes
14. Adebayo-Rowling T. . Akpan J. 7. Allarakhia T. . Bispo Martinez L. 48. Clift W. 21. McBride C. 13. Waller S. (G)	13. Amos S. (G) 17. Dayman M. 12. Keto-Diyawa A. . Lopes L. . Ojinnaka T. . Olagunju S. 15. Reynolds F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Whittingham M. ⚽, Angel Enguru Mangue D. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Weston C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ayinde L. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
62', Buyabu J. ↓, Akpan J. ↑,
66', Edwards C. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Edwards C. (A),
68', Ashworth F. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
76', Edozie T. ↓, Ji M. ↑,
76', Okoduwa W. ↓, Dayman M. ↑,
89', Hubner J. 🟨,
90+1', Burger J. ↓, Bispo Martinez L. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Hubner J. ⚽, Lopes L. (A),
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Angel Enguru Mangue D. (Pen),
1, Allarakhia T. (Pen),
2, Whittingham M. (Pen),
2, Edwards C. (Pen),
3, Lopes L. (Pen),
3, Weston C. (Pen),
4, Hubner J. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kielce won 3.

Kielce in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kielce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 163:165 (average 27.2:27.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kielce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
08.02.25	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
04.02.25	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.02.25	Worthing - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
English National League
25.01.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Rochdale - Stoke City U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWW
- Wolverhampton Wanderers U21
English Premier League 2
07.02.25	Sunderland U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	5:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
03.02.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Sunderland U21	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
28.01.25	Altrincham - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
24.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Manchester City U21	3:1 ✺
20.01.25	Crystal Palace U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTLWW

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