Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Rochdale		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.21	5.75	9.25
	1.24	5.6	9.2
	1.24	5.84	11.47
	1.26	5.48	11.26	Watch
	1.22	5.8	12
	1.26	5.21	11.9
	1.24	5.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	5.6 ↑ (4.93)	10.91 ↑ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
74.9%

Draw
16.6%

Ebbsfleet United
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.9%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Waller S. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 33. Beckwith S. 19. Burger J. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. (C) 26. Hogan L. 21. McBride C. 9. Mitchell K.	1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 20. Lankshear A. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 7. Passley J. 33. Stewart A.
Substitutes
15. Ayinde L. 30. Buyabu J. 16. Ferguson K. 40. Henderson I. 28. Kingdon J. 10. Rodney D. 31. Weston C.	37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 22. Chapman B. 13. Firth H. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 12. Samuel D. 39. Thomas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Burger J. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
66', Passley J. ↓, Chapman B. ↑,
70', Cosgrave A. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
72', Mitchell K. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
82', McBride C. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
82', Moncur G. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iowa State won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Iowa State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Iowa State is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Iowa State won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1483:1451 (average 74.2:72.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Iowa State won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 748:710 (average 74.8:71).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
04.02.25	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.02.25	Worthing - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
English National League
25.01.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Rochdale - Stoke City U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
01.02.25	Halifax Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
18.01.25	Woking - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
14.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.10.24	Ebbsfleet United - Rochdale	2:2
02.03.24	Ebbsfleet United - Rochdale	2:1
05.08.23	Rochdale - Ebbsfleet United	0:1

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