Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.4	2.17
	2.8	3.92	2.17
	2.85	3.81	2.21	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.76	3.98	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.99)	3.62 ↑ (3.53)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
32.8%

Draw
25.3%

Rochdale
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Worthing - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Mitchell K. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Mitchell K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 2, Partington J. ⚽,

Preview

Worthing in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rochdale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
28.01.25	Worthing - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Maidstone United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Worthing - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Worthing - Torquay United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
25.01.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.01.25	Rochdale - Stoke City U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.01.25	Rochdale - Stockton Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
26.12.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

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