Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	beIN Sports 1
Israel	21:45	5 STARS Israel
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 6


	Rodez		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.15
	3	3.4	2.12	Watch
	3.12	3.68	2.25
	2.99	3.74	2.16	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.2
	3.11	3.56	2.14	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.72)	3.55 ↑ (3.32)	2.16 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
30.7%

Draw
26.2%

Montpellier
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Rodez - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Montpellier will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Montpellier (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braat Q. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 20. Ponti R. 10. Saka M. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 9. Nsingi N. 11. Touho M.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 5. Tardieu F. 27. Meddah D. 18. Pays N. 40. Vidal-Cartoux N. 9. Megnan-Pave L. 11. Camara M.
Substitutes
29. Cartillier A. 30. Crombez E. (G) 13. Issanchou C. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 7. Nagera K. 21. Nsona K. 8. Pavlovic D. 5. Sylla M.	32. Abderrebi H. 90. Ayem G. 23. Benlahlou D. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Everson Jr 1. Michel M. (G) 28. Zouaoui Y.
Coaches
Santini D.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Saka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Mouanga Y. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Pays N. ⚽,
56', Vidal-Cartoux N. ↓, Benlahlou D. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Megnan-Pave L. ⚽,
62', Joly O. ↓, Pavlovic D. ↑,
63', Luyambula S. ↓, Jean-Lambert E. ↑,
67', Saka M. ↓, Cartillier A. ↑,
68', Touho M. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
70', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Benlahlou D. ⚽,
80', Nsingi N. ↓, Nsona K. ↑,
85', Tardieu F. ↓, Abderrebi H. ↑,
85', Megnan-Pave L. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 3 and 5th in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Rodez (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Montpellier has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Rodez: Issanchou C. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Rodez has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rodez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montpellier	10	6	3	1	13:6	7	21
14	Rodez	10	3	1	6	16:22	-6	10

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 7.58% Rodez: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
10.10.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rodez - Inter Escaldes	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Rodez - Nancy	3:4 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
09.10.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Reims - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Montpellier - Pau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Rodez - Montpellier	1:0
31.10.25	Montpellier - Rodez	2:0
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Montpellier - Rodez	0:2
14.08.20	Rodez - Montpellier	1:3
Coupe De France
05.01.14	Rodez - Montpellier	0:2

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