Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rodez		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.37
	2.72	3.25	2.42	Watch
	2.83	3.49	2.5
	2.79	3.42	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.38
	2.88	3.43	2.42	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.57)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
33.3%

Draw
27.9%

Montpellier
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Rodez - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 8. Younoussa W. 6. Mendes J. 28. Saka M. 9. Nagera K. 11. Arconte T.	31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Jullien C. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 44. Chennahi T. 7. Mbuku N. 8. Issoufou Y. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
18. Balde I. 26. Benchamma S. 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 22. Joly O. 16. Margueron L. (G) 27. Trouillet A. 21. Vungele Vangi L.	37. Da Silva L. 3. El Hannach N. 1. Michel M. (G) 21. Mincarelli L. 14. Molebe E. 11. Savanier T. 28. Sishuba A.
Coaches
Santini D.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mbuku N. 🟨,
43', Younoussa W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Laporte J. 🟨,
67', Issoufou Y. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
67', Sishuba A. 🟨,
69', Younoussa W. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
69', Saka M. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Benchamma S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
81', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
81', Tchato E. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
83', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
90+2', Arconte T. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
90+2', Nagera K. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

Rodez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montpellier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Jolibois C. (Yellow Cards) Margueron L. (Inactive) Ponti R. (Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Yellow Cards) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Omeragic B. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Rodez - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
13.02.26	Clermont - Rodez	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Boulogne - Rodez	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Rodez - Red Star	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Nancy - Rodez	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Rodez - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
14.02.26	Montpellier - Le Mans	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Nice - Montpellier	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bastia - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Montpellier - Rodez	2:0
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Montpellier - Rodez	0:2
14.08.20	Rodez - Montpellier	1:3
Coupe De France
05.01.14	Rodez - Montpellier	0:2

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