Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Metz

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	3.25	3.2	2.22
	3.07	3.14	2.5
	3.45	3.11	2.21	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.53	3.44	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	2.27 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
29.1%

Draw
29.4%

Metz
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Dunkerque - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. 23. Sasso V. 30. Abner F. 5. Queiros D. 77. Al Saad M. 22. Skytta N. 11. Pitu A. 8. Rivera M. 18. Courtet G.	29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. 36. Jallow A. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 7. Hein G. 14. Sabaly C.
Substitutes
19. Bammou Y. 4. Fernandez N. 1. Jaouen E. (G) 15. Sekongo A. 9. Tejan K. 80. Yassine G. 17. Youssouf B.	99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 18. Gueye I. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 12. Toure A. 8. Traore I.
Coaches
Castro L.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Sabaly C. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
39', Skytta N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Al Saad M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
46', Pitu A. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Queiros D. ⚽, Courtet G. (A),
72', 1 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Stambouli B. (A),
80', Queiros D. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
84', Rivera M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
88', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
90', Jallow A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
90', Mboula U. 🟨,
90+4', Sabaly C. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Bammou Y. ⚽, Courtet G. (A),
90+6', Sekongo A. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 3, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Kouao K. (A),
90+11', Bokele Mputu M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Bardeli E. (Red Card) Fortuna N. (Inactive) Linguet A. (Inactive) Sekongo A. (Inactive) Youssouf B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Metz: Lo A. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Injury) Sane I. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Metz: Deminguet J. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
10.03.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	5:1 ✺
03.03.25	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
26.02.25	Brest - Dunkerque	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
08.03.25	Metz - Annecy	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Amiens - Metz	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Metz - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guingamp - Metz	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Metz - Clermont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.12.24	Metz - Dunkerque	2:0
Coupe De France
07.01.18	Dunkerque - Metz	2:4

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