Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Retail P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	14:00	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	14:00	Viaplay
Finland	15:00	Viaplay
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
Israel	15:00	5 PLUS Israel
Netherlands	14:00	Viaplay
Norway	14:00	Viaplay
Sweden	14:00	Viaplay


	Dijon		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.00	3.60	3.30
	2.02	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.86	3.54
	2.02	3.8	3.28	Watch
	1.97	3.75	3.4
	1.94	3.9	3.36	Watch
	2.01	3.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.18)	3.73 ↑ (3.71)	3.25 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
46.4%

Draw
25%

Rodez
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Dijon - Rodez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dijon (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dijon (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Dijon (2.04) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dijon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 23. Lacroix L. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 75. Diallo B. 14. Marie J. (C) 21. Chouchane S. 17. Lembezat A. 18. Ndezi B. 90. Lago E. 10. Barka Y.	1. Braat Q. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 20. Ponti R. 29. Cartillier A. 8. Pavlovic D. 22. Joly O. 9. Nsingi N. 21. Nsona K.
Substitutes
42. Aka Y. 8. Bellon P. 93. Bouleghcha I. 9. Dong T. 31. Faty M. 46. Marie-Rose I. (G) 29. Ntamack A. 11. Tavares J. 20. Vargas-Rios H.	27. Essimi M. 13. Issanchou C. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 16. Margueron L. (G) 6. Mendes J. 7. Nagera K. 10. Saka M. 5. Sylla M. 11. Touho M.
Coaches
Ridira B.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Cartillier A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Barka Y. ⚽, Diallo B. (A),
39', Lipinski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Diallo B. 🟨,
56', Diallo B. ↓, Faty M. ↑,
57', Marie J. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
64', Joly O. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
64', Nsona K. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
68', Barka Y. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
71', Pavlovic D. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
80', Nsingi N. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
80', Luyambula S. ↓, Issanchou C. ↑,
82', Chouchane S. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
82', Lago E. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
88', Ponti R. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Essimi M. ⚽, Nagera K. (A),

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 3).

Dijon has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rodez has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dijon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Rodez has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dijon holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Dijon: Aka Y. (Injury) Barreto M. (Inactive) Benyahya A. (Inactive) Mimoune H. (Inactive) Obongo C. (Ankle Injury) Rombogouera F. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Rodez: Essimi M. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Rodez: Vangi D. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dijon has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dijon against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17:18	-1	12
14	Rodez	10	3	1	6	16:22	-6	10

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dijon: 1.27% Rodez: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Dijon - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.84%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
16.10.26	Reims - Dijon	4:2 ✺
12.10.26	Dijon - Metz	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Annecy - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dijon - Laval	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWT
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
19.10.26	Rodez - Montpellier	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rodez - Inter Escaldes	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Rodez - Nancy	3:4 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Dijon - Rodez	1:0
30.12.22	Rodez - Dijon	2:1
15.01.22	Rodez - Dijon	0:2
07.08.21	Dijon - Rodez	1:1

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