Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2	3.2	3.75
	2.03	3.31	4.16
	2	3.1	4
	2	3.34	3.88	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	3.26 ↑ (3)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
46.8%

Draw
28.8%

Rodez
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

32%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Dijon - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Rodez will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 13).

Dijon has the most likely position - 19 (30.12%), project points - 36, currently - 26, a good chance of relegated (84%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Rodez has the most likely position - 14 (14.82%), project points - 44, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (20%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 45, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dijon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rodez is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dijon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
01.04.23	Caen - Dijon	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Guingamp - Dijon	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Dijon - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Valenciennes - Dijon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
01.04.23	Rodez - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Amiens - Rodez	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Rodez - Caen	3:2 ✺
04.03.23	Niort - Rodez	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
01.03.23	Toulouse - Rodez	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Rodez - Dijon	2:1
15.01.22	Rodez - Dijon	0:2
07.08.21	Dijon - Rodez	1:1

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