Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Yantar (Moscow)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.25	3.1
	2.22	3.58	3.04
	2.24	3.48	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.62)	3.04 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
42.7%

Draw
26.9%

Krasnodar 2
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodina Moscow's form might have worsened.

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krasnodar 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krasnodar 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Rodina Moscow - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar 2: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Rodina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krasnodar 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
27.08.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Rodina Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTTTW
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
27.08.22	Krasnodar 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Krasnodar 2 - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	KAMAZ - Krasnodar 2	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Krasnodar 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLTW

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