Match Info

FNL - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sapsan Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.31	2.94	3.77
	2.3	3.08	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.67)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	3.55 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
41.4%

Draw
31.7%

Arsenal Tula
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rodina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Svinov I. (G) 24. Biryukov A. 3. Goglichidze L. 6. Gorbachev I. 72. Gordyushenko A. 77. Koryan A. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 88. Sokol A. 23. Ushatov K.	18. Tsulaya M. (G) 17. Ahlinvi M. 59. Avanesyan T. 77. Berdnikov A. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 44. Isaenko O. 9. Kalmykov A. 78. Lipovoy D. 7. Reyes E. 22. Tsaraev A.
Substitutes
14. Andreev A. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 91. Barinov D. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 7. Gueye P. 20. Kontsevoy A. 52. Kuzmichev I. 10. Reyna Y. 4. Tananeev D. 99. Timoshenko I.	24. Azyavin I. 14. Brnovic M. 11. Djuranovic U. 10. Gorbunov I. 45. Karmaev N. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 46. Moskalenchik I. 8. Popov A. 15. Putsko A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 5. Sergeev D. 50. Sokolov I.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
30', Fishchenko R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Ahlinvi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koryan A. ↓, Reyna Y. ↑,
48', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
56', Kalmykov A. ↓, Djuranovic U. ↑,
56', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
60', Biryukov A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
60', Sokol A. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
63', Isaenko O. ↓, Moskalenchik I. ↑,
75', Lipovoy D. ↓, Gorbunov I. ↑,
76', Tsaraev A. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
76', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
76', Ushatov K. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Maksimenko A. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.

Rodina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rodina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
02.08.25	Ural - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
21.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	6:2 ✺
17.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
03.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ufa - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.05.25	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	0:1
05.10.24	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1
04.05.24	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1
05.11.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:0
Russian Cup
19.10.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:2
Russian FNL
12.03.23	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	2:3
21.08.22	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1

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