The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 41.7%
Draw 28.3%
Ural 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
31.9%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
32.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Rodina Moscow - Ural Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 55. Krizan M. 88. Sokol A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 10. Reyna Y. 9. Maksimenko A. 99. Timoshenko I. 18. Abdusalamov M.
86. Kuznetsov I. (G) 34. Margasov T. 2. Begic S. (C) 16. Italo 59. Kharin E. 21. Ivanisenia D. 6. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y. 13. Akbashev R. 19. Bogomolskiy E. 10. Sekulic M.
Substitutes
7. Arce S. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Cissoko K. 96. Gharibyan A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 77. Koryan A. 38. Musaev L. 23. Ushatov K. 21. Yudintsev G.
37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 11. Karapuzov V. 44. Malkevich V. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 9. Mosin E. 57. Selikhov A. (G)
Coaches
Diaz J.
Berezutskiy V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Egorychev A. 🟨,
32', Sekulic M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Reyna Y. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
59', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
62', Akbashev R. 🟨,
67', Akbashev R. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
67', Bogomolskiy E. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
69', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
74', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
75', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
78', Reyna Y. 🟨,
81', Maksimenko A. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
81', Reyna Y. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
82', Kharin E. ↓, Malkevich V. ↑,
82', Sekulic M. ↓, Bondarev V. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', Arce S. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Morozov N. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.
Rodina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ural has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rodina could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Ural: 7.82%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ural
12
7
4
1
20:6
14
25
Last Results with these Odds
Ural - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Russia
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Volkov S. (G) 
Krizan M. 
Reyna Y. 
Begic S. (C) 
Italo 
Ivanisenia D. 
Bogomolskiy E. 
Arce S. 
Cissoko K. 
Gharibyan A. 
Diaz J. 
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