Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Lokomotiv-Kazanka		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.1	3.6	2.8
	2.07	3.5	2.8
	2.14	3.89	3
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.08	3.75	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	2.88 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv-Kazanka
43.1%

Draw
25.3%

Rodina Moscow
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

18.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv-Kazanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv-Kazanka than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv-Kazanka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotiv Kazanka - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

Recent matches Lokomotiv-Kazanka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rodina have a series of home games.

Lokomotiv-Kazanka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv-Kazanka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv-Kazanka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv-Kazanka
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
12.09.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Zvezda St. Petersburg	4:1 ✺
06.09.20	Zenit 2 - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	6:0 ✺
29.08.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	2:2 ✺
24.08.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Znamya Truda - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTW
- Rodina Moscow
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:5 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
11.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Znamya Truda	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Kolomna	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Kolomna - Rodina Moscow	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
28.08.20	Rodina Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
18.10.19	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Rodina Moscow	5:1
24.07.19	Rodina Moscow - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	2:3

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