Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.1
	2.6	2.78	3.15	Watch
	2.6	2.95	3.22
	2.80	2.31	3.65	Watch
	2.63	2.89	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	2.81 ↓ (2.94)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
36.6%

Draw
33.9%

Boca Juniors
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

32.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Rosario Central - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rosario (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (C) 32. Coronel E. 6. Komar J. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 11. Di Maria A. 5. Ibarra F. 10. Malcorra I. 27. Duarte G. 21. Lopez S. 9. Veliz A.	12. Brey L. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 33. Aguirre B. 6. Battaglia R. 5. Paredes L. 8. Carlos Palacios 10. Cavani E. (C) 16. Miguel Merentiel
Substitutes
8. Campaz J. 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 33. Elordi J. M. 16. Gimenez E. 43. Gutierrez K. 18. Lo Celso F. 7. Lovera M. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 46. Ovando I. 20. Werner A. (G)	17. Advincula L. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 18. Fabra F. 4. Figal J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 11. Janson L. 19. Martegani A. 26. Pellegrino M. 20. Velasco A. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Holan A.	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Quintana C. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Battaglia R. ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. ⚽,
33', Cavani E. 🟨,
33', Malcorra I. 🟨,
42', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Lopez S. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
66', Duarte G. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
72', Aguirre B. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
73', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
81', Di Maria A. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
84', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
88', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
89', Ibarra F. 🟨,
89', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 0.

Recent performances by Rosario have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive) Modica A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Zenon K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.25	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rosario Central - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Atlético Tucumán - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Rosario Central - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Lanús - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.08.25	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Boca Juniors - Banfield	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.25	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	1:0
31.08.24	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
23.04.23	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	2:2
17.08.22	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.02.22	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.21	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:2
08.12.19	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:0

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