Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Pluto TV


	Corinthians		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2.30	2.75	3.60
	2.22	2.78	3.7	Watch
	2.26	2.82	4.24
	2.25	2.86	3.95	Watch
	2.2	2.8	4
	2.18	2.86	4.09	Watch
	2.29	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.88)	2.83 ↓ (3.23)	3.94 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
42.3%

Draw
33.5%

Rosario Central
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

29.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

28.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

Corinthians - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 19. Carrillo A. 14. Raniele 37. Kaio Cesar 8. Garro R. (C) 7. Breno Bidon 18. Pedro Raul	23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 31. Navarro F. 88. Rodriguez A. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.
Substitutes
63. Alex Santana 26. Angileri F. 54. Bahia 35. Charles Rigon 10. Depay M. 61. Dieguinho 56. Gui Negao 4. Joao Pedro 51. Kaue (G) 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 23. Pereira M.	16. Badaloni T. 26. Cantizano G. 18. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 24. Gimenez J. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 20. Pizarro V. 29. Ruben M. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 1. Werner A. (G) 2. Zaracho S.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Raniele 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Raniele 🟥,
70', Pedro Raul ↓, Depay M. ↑,
76', Ibarra F. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
76', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Breno Bidon ⚽, Depay M. (A),
83', Sandez A. ↓, Ruben M. ↑,
87', Breno Bidon ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
87', Navarro F. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
90', Kaio Cesar ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Recent performances by Corinthians have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosario is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Corinthians is the team to beat.

There will not play in Corinthians: Allan (Red Card) Andre (Muscle Injury) Kayke (Knee Injury) Labyad Z. (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Knee Injury) Yuri Alberto (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Duarte G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Gabriel Paulista (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corinthians won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Corinthians: 4.57% Rosario Central: 2.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Rosario Central - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Rosario Central - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.26	Rosario Central - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	River Plate - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Rosario Central - Racing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Rosario Central - Corinthians	0:0

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