The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rosario Central 32.5%
Draw 33.6%
Tigre 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
29.8%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
29.4%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
27.3%
0%
Rosario Central - Tigre Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 46.4% – 99%.
1. Broun J. (C) 42. Veron E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 33. Soto A. 35. Ramos L. 5. Ibarra F. 37. Duarte L. 10. Segovia S. 26. Cantizano G. 39. Oviedo F.
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 17. Soto G. 20. Barrionuevo A. 32. Villalba J. 3. Banegas N. 11. Serrago T. 30. Elias J. 55. Mosqueira J. 21. Medina S. 29. Russo I. (C) 22. Lopez S.
Substitutes
7. Cabrera M. 40. Cantero B. 22. Copetti E. 28. Fernandez P. 43. Gutierrez K. 23. Ledesma C. (G) 31. Navarro F. 46. Ovando I. 14. Oviedo A. 47. Raffin L. 41. Rios L. 9. Veliz A.
24. Alvarez F. 42. Arias R. 33. Cabrera E. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 5. Leyes B. 4. Moreno V. 23. Pineiro G. 72. Rivas M. 9. Romero D. 10. Saralegui J. 26. Sultani T. (G)
Coaches
Almiron J.
Dabove D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Mosqueira J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽, Quintana C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mosqueira J. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
52', Villalba J. 🟨,
59', Medina S. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
59', Serrago T. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
64', Segovia S. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
64', Duarte L. ↓, Raffin L. ↑,
67', Oviedo F. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
67', Soto A. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
76', Mallo Blanco F. 🟨,
77', Ramos L. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
80', Elias J. ↓, Saralegui J. ↑,
80', Lopez S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Romero D. ⚽,
90+6', Saralegui J. 🟥,
90+10', 🟨,
Preview
Federation decision.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Rosario is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 0.
Rosario is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Tigre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tigre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rosario has had a series of away games.
In this match, Rosario is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Rosario: Duarte G.
(Inactive)
Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Lezcano S.
(Inactive)
Oviedo A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Tigre: Garay M.
(Injury)
Laso J.
(Injury)
Martinez P.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Argentina
South-america
Usa
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Broun J. (C) 
Mallo Blanco F. 
Soto G. 
Elias J. 
Rivas M. 
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