The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Central 13.9%
Draw 23.1%
Rosario Central 63.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
27.2%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
26.6%
52.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Rosario (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rosario Central will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 3. Ramirez R. 4. Velasquez W. 24. Cumana Y. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 47. Granko A. 8. Zapata J. 7. Cuesta J. 11. Bolivar J.
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 18. Fernandez J. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 9. Veliz A.
Substitutes
20. Berroteran Y. 27. Carrillo D. 15. Davis R. 16. De Sousa D. 14. Mendoza K. 1. Morales L. (G) 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 17. Rodriguez V. 28. Ruiz M. 19. Simarra A. 10. Sosa S.
1. Broun J. (G) 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 28. Fernandez P. 16. Gimenez E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 2. Quintana C. 47. Raffin L. 35. Ramos L. 33. Soto A.
Coaches
Sasso D.
Almiron J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Di Maria A. 🟨,
20', Sole F. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Ovando I. ⚽, Campaz J. (A),
37', Ibarra F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Granko A. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
46', Fernandez J. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
52', Schiavone G. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Di Maria A. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Sasso D. 🟨,
61', Cumana Y. 🟨,
65', Di Maria A. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
80', Veliz A. 🟨,
80', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
80', Ibarra F. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
84', Zapata J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
87', Campaz J. ↓, Quintana C. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Copetti E. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
Preview
Universidad Central is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rosario is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rosario is the team to beat.
There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)