Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 30

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Rosenborg		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	1.45	5.25	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.9	5.9	Watch
	1.47	5.39	5.9
	1.53	4.74	5.12	Watch
	1.48	5.06	5.78
	1.42	5.33	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.53)	5.11 ↑ (4.74)	5.64 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
64.6%

Draw
18.6%

Strømsgodset
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

19.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

15.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Rosenborg - Strømsgodset Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rosenborg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tangvik S. (G) 15. Mortensen J. 50. Volden H. 38. Ceide M. K. 33. Dahl T. 29. Duris D. 8. Fossum I. 7. Nordli S. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 39. Islamovic D. (C) 35. Ceide E. K.	38. Torkildsen J. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 4. Westerlund S. 27. Dahl F. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 84. Skistad A. 80. Wikheim G. (C) 77. Mehnert M. 20. Conteh A. 21. Farji M.
Substitutes
43. Borgersen A. 56. Holmen I. 2. Reitan E. 9. Saeter O. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 55. Sandrod E. 60. Slordal E. 24. Sorum H. (G) 16. Witry A. F.	1. Bratveit P. (G) 14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 5. Sormo B. 39. Spiten M.
Coaches
Johansson A.	Fagermo D

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Nordli S. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Duris D. ⚽, Reitan-Sunde J. (A),
41', Farji M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Farji M. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
46', Dahl F. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Duris D. ⚽, Nordli S. (A),
59', Taaje J. 🟨,
60', 4 - 0, Nordli S. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
66', Mortensen J. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Islamovic D. ⚽, Fossum I. (A),
72', Dahl T. ↓, Reitan E. ↑,
72', Nordli S. ↓, Slordal E. ↑,
78', Mehnert M. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
78', Wikheim G. ↓, Spiten M. ↑,
79', Reitan-Sunde J. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
88', Conteh A. ↓, Heredia-Randen A. ↑,
90+5', 6 - 0, Ceide E. K. ⚽, Islamovic D. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Strømsgodset is Relegated to OBOS~ligaen

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 3.

Rosenborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strømsgodset is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rosenborg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Jenssen U. (Yellow Cards) Nemcik T. (Knee Injury) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury) Vaananen S. (Injury)

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Inactive) Ekeland J. (Injury) Enersen O. (Injury) Johansen E. H. (Injury) Krasniqi K. (Injury) Lampinen-Skaug S. (Injury) Valsvik G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Pereira A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.11.25	Tromsø - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Molde - Rosenborg	4:2 ✺
29.10.25	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Rosenborg - Brann	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.11.25	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:6 ✺
09.11.25	Kristiansund - Strømsgodset	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Strømsgodset - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Strømsgodset - Fredrikstad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
29.03.25	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	1:2
03.11.24	Rosenborg - Strømsgodset	1:0
07.04.24	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	1:0
26.11.23	Rosenborg - Strømsgodset	1:3
23.07.23	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	0:1
15.10.22	Rosenborg - Strømsgodset	3:0
08.05.22	Strømsgodset - Rosenborg	3:0

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