Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Rosenborg		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.65
	2.58	3.92	2.65
	2.48	3.92	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.5
	2.46	3.77	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.17)	3.75 ↓ (3.91)	2.59 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
38.2%

Draw
25.2%

Brann
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg's performance.

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rosenborg - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brann will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 15. Mortensen J. 2. Rosten H. 21. Nemcik T. 3. Dahl T. 7. Nordli S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 8. Fossum I. 35. Ceide E. K. 17. Bomholt M. 18. Chiakha A.	12. Nilsen S. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 23. Pedersen T. 20. Dragsnes V. 10. Ingason K. M. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 14. Mathisen U. 29. Holm N. 7. Thorsteinsson J.
Substitutes
25. Bakke J. 9. Islamovic D. 19. Pereira A. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 11. Sahsah N. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 6. Vaananen S. 5. Volden H. 16. Witry A. F.	16. Eriksen K. 11. Finne B. 32. Haaland M. 36. Hellesoy H. M. (G) 43. Holten R. 26. Matondo R. 6. Mbacke D. 17. Soltvedt J. 25. Wassberg N.
Coaches
Johansson A.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Fossum I. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Thorsteinsson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Thorsteinsson J. 🟨,
66', Fossum I. ↓, Bakke J. ↑,
66', Ceide E. K. ↓, Sahsah N. ↑,
67', Nordli S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
67', Mortensen J. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
69', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Wassberg N. ↑,
70', Holm N. ↓, Eriksen K. ↑,
70', Ingason K. M. 🟨,
71', Mathisen U. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
75', Sorensen J. 🟨,
82', Ingason K. M. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
87', Nemcik T. 🟨,
88', Bomholt M. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Duris D. (Shoulder Injury) Sahsah N. (Hand Injury) Slordal E. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Brann: Boakye N. (Knee Injury) Castro N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gudmundsson E. (Knee Injury) Magnusson S. (Knee Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Witry A. F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brann: Torsvik J. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Rosenborg: 0.47% Brann: 0.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39:30	9	33
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39:32	7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.04.26	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Tromsø - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Rosenborg - Stjørdals-Blink	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL
- SK Brann
Norwegian NM Cup
22.04.26	Brann - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.04.26	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Brann - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hamarkameratene - Brann	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Brann - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
26.10.25	Rosenborg - Brann	2:3
11.05.25	Brann - Rosenborg	0:0
20.10.24	Rosenborg - Brann	1:2
04.05.24	Brann - Rosenborg	3:0
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Brann - Rosenborg	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.23	Brann - Rosenborg	3:1
03.05.23	Rosenborg - Brann	0:2

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