Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Kolding IF

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.7
	4.6	3.5	1.68
	4.7	3.7	1.71	Watch
	5	3.66	1.75
	4.66	3.63	1.74	Watch
	4.7	3.64	1.73	Watch
	4.7	3.7	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↓ (5.27)	3.65 ↓ (4.02)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
19.8%

Draw
25.7%

Kolding IF
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.3%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.8%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kolding IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolding IF than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolding IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Roskilde - Kolding IF Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kolding IF will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolding IF: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Juhl M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 23. Fraulo G. 6. Halse N. 14. Nyegaard K. 15. Taranis A. 18. Maarup A. 7. Nielsen E.	99. Moser L. (G) 4. Vestergaard C. 5. Leifsson A. 3. Norager A. 8. Vestergaard M. 15. Enemark C. 33. Musbaudeen J. 24. Jorgensen C. 29. Jalal S. 22. Tannander I. 17. Yateke S.
Substitutes
10. Arabaci R. 11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 26. Lysholm M. 20. Zachariassen N.	1. Aegidius J. (G) 21. Agyiri E. 25. Kvist B. 12. Moller F. 9. Sarr M. 2. Vadstrup J. 32. Vetter J. 18. Westh V.
Coaches
Theil A.	Holmgaard L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nyegaard K. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
46', Juhl M. 🟨,
50', Taranis A. 🟨,
57', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Westh V. ↑,
57', Norager A. ↓, Vetter J. ↑,
61', Taranis A. ↓, Arabaci R. ↑,
61', Nielsen E. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
64', Maarup A. 🟨,
67', Westh V. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
73', Enemark C. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Tannander I. ⚽, Jorgensen C. (A),
83', Halse N. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
83', Juhl M. ↓, Lysholm M. ↑,
84', Fraulo G. 🟨,
86', Tannander I. ↓, Moller F. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 1.

Roskilde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kolding IF is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kolding IF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kolding IF have a series of guest games.

In this match Kolding IF is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
25.10.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Roskilde - OB Odense	1:5 ✺
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roskilde - HB Køge	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.09.24	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Kolding IF
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.24	BK Frem - Kolding IF	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
25.10.24	HB Køge - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Kolding IF - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
07.10.24	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.10.24	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
24.08.24	Kolding IF - Roskilde	0:0
Danish 2 Division
26.03.23	Kolding IF - Roskilde	2:1
20.08.22	Roskilde - Kolding IF	0:0
Danish 1 Division
19.06.20	Kolding IF - Roskilde	2:2
06.03.20	Roskilde - Kolding IF	1:0
11.08.19	Kolding IF - Roskilde	4:3

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